Despite home advantage and more quality on paper, Trabzonspor have been hopelessly out of form recently, and the midweek cup win only papered over some very glaring cracks.
Hatayspor meanwhile, should remain confident despite their penalty shootout defeat, as seven points from their last three league games has seen them move clear of trouble, and another fine result could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Trabzonspor in this match.
1.34) 
-0.49) 
