CD Olivais have done remarkably to book their spot in the third round and anything more will be a brilliant bonus for a side who will return to the harsh realities of fifth-tier football next week.
Sporting have been invincible in the Primeira Liga so far this term, and any combination of 11 starters from the Lions squad will be good enough to produce a comfortable victory on Saturday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 99.07%. A draw had a probability of 0.8% and a win for CD Olivais e Moscavide had a probability of 0.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-5 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.43%) and 0-6 (13.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.45%), while for a CD Olivais e Moscavide win it was 1-0 (0.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
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