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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 3, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin

Germany U21s
4 - 1
Moldova U21s

Berisha (10'), Nmecha (61' pen.), Schlotterbeck (74'), Kruger (79')
Geiger (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carastoian (84')
Gulceac (40'), Dijinari (60'), Suciu (61')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Germany Under-21s and Moldova Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 89.56%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 2.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 4-0 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Germany Under-21sDrawMoldova Under-21s
89.56%7.74%2.7%
Both teams to score 35.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.73%28.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.9%49.1%
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.14%3.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.56%16.44%
Moldova Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.11%62.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.94%92.06%
Score Analysis
    Germany Under-21s 89.55%
    Moldova Under-21s 2.7%
    Draw 7.74%
Germany Under-21sDrawMoldova Under-21s
3-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 12.87%
4-0 @ 11.37%
1-0 @ 7.91%
5-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 6.48%
2-1 @ 5.97%
4-1 @ 5.28%
6-0 @ 4.02%
5-1 @ 3.44%
7-0 @ 1.87%
6-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 89.55%
1-1 @ 3.67%
0-0 @ 2.43%
2-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 7.74%
0-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 2.7%

rhs 2.0
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1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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