Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg Under-21s win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Iceland Under-21s had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Iceland Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.