MX23RW : Monday, May 20 02:50:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown

Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (33'), Lang (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chubb (20' og.)
Taylor (16')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 4-2 Pontypridd
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
33.73% (0.442 0.44) 24.44% (0.012 0.01) 41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 59.21% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (0.069000000000003 0.07)43.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (0.069000000000003 0.07)65.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.295 0.3)25.12% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.404 0.4)59.82% (-0.404 -0.4)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)20.92% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.281 -0.28)53.65% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 33.73%
    Newtown AFC 41.82%
    Draw 24.43%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.065 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.73%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.82%

How you voted: Cardiff MU vs Newtown

Cardiff MU
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Newtown AFC
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-1
Cardiff MU

Sears (43')
Rees (42')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!