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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Apr 16, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Parramatta Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Western Sydney
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Kamau (23')
Gordon (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brindell-South (18'), Danzaki (45+2')
Brindell-South (11'), Daley (81'), Brown (89')

Preview: Western Sydney Wanderers vs. Brisbane Roar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Western Sydney Wanderers and Brisbane Roar square off on Friday with the two sides occupying the mid-table positions in the A-League standings.

However, while Wanderers hold a five-point advantage in sixth place, the visitors currently possess three games in hand on their hosts.


Match preview

Carl Robinson, now in charge of Western Sydney Wanderers, pictured in 2017© Reuters

On the back of four matches without success, Carl Robinson will be frustrated that Wanderers now find themselves off the pace in the title race.

Two of the draws during that period were recorded after holding leads, adding to the disappointment currently being felt at the Bankwest Stadium.

On a positive note, their latest stalemate at fourth-placed Adelaide United came courtesy of a second-half equaliser through Simon Cox, who ended a two-month wait for a goal in the process.

Sitting just five points adrift of Central Coast Mariners having played a game more than the leaders, victory on Friday would get Robinson's side back on track.

However, another fixture without maximum points would leave the club at risk of being pulled into the bottom half of the standings, undoing the team's hard work during the early stages of the campaign.

Brisbane Roar have endured an equally frustrating period with eight games without a win leaving the club in the bottom half of the table.

That streak came to an end last week as Roar posted a 2-1 win over Macarthur, ending the three-match winning streak of their hosts at the same time.

Warren Moon will be delighted that his team have recorded their first success since February 6, a result which gives them the opportunity to make further progress up the table if they prevail in their games in hand.

These two teams are no strangers to each other, having played out a 1-1 draw as recently as April 3.

Western Sydney Wanderers Australian A-League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

Brisbane Roar Australian A-League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Wanderers will be without youngster Mark Natta, who is serving a suspension after his red card against Adelaide.

Tass Mourdoukoutas is likely to start in place of the teenager, while Cox could earn a recall after coming off the substitutes' bench to score in the last game.

Moon may stick with the Roar XI which impressed in the clash with Macarthur, keeping faith in a side which outclassed higher-ranked opponents.

Riku Danzaki has now scored in successive matches, ending a run of seven outings without finding the back of the net.

Western Sydney Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Margush; Gordon, Ziegler, Mourdoukoutas; Aquilina, Baccus, Dorrans, Troisi, Wilmering; Cox, Duke

Brisbane Roar possible starting lineup:
Young; Neville, Aldred, Gillesphey; Brindell-South, O'Shea, Akbari, Brown; Danzaki, Wenzel-Halls, Champness


SM words green background

We say: Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 Brisbane Roar

Having recorded too many draws of late, another stalemate will not necessarily benefit the home side. However, both teams have been in good form of late, leading us to predict a competitive share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Brisbane Roar

Western Sydney Wanderers
59.4%
Draw
21.9%
Brisbane Roar
18.8%
32
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