Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.
