MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 19:38:02| >> :60:356:356:
Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Duhail

Talisca (25'), Mane (56'), Ronaldo (61', 81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mohammad (63'), Ali (67'), Olunga (85')
Musa (87'), Coutinho (87')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Duhail.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Damac
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Duhail

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 0-1 Persepolis
Monday, October 2 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Duhail
49.02% (-0.346 -0.35) 22.58% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 28.39% (0.287 0.29)
Both teams to score 63.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)37.29% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.49% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)59.5% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.149 -0.15)15.54% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.276 -0.28)44.48% (0.275 0.27)
Al-Duhail Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.15300000000001 0.15)25.36% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.21 0.21)60.15% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 49.02%
    Al-Duhail 28.39%
    Draw 22.58%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Duhail
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Duhail

Al-Nassr
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Duhail
0.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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