MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:46:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ahli

Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Persepolis 0-2 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

We are expecting a high-quality game of football here between two sides that have been tipped to challenge for the title this season. A few notable absentees for Al-Ahli could be a crucial factor in this one, which is why we are leaning toward the hosts to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
45.05% (0.665 0.66) 25.31% (-0.279 -0.28) 29.63% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 54.43% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.993 0.99)48.99% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.89 0.89)71.07% (-0.887 -0.89)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.72699999999999 0.73)21.74% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.096 1.1)54.91% (-1.093 -1.09)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.23400000000001 0.23)30.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.276 0.28)66.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 45.05%
    Al-Ahli 29.63%
    Draw 25.31%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.143 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
79.5%
Draw
6.8%
Al-Ahli
13.6%
44
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249


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