Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.