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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2023 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Borja (50' pen.), Barco (71' pen.)
Diaz (59'), Paradela (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mac Allister (43')
Torren (32'), Lanzillota (45+6')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Belgrano 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, February 4 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Racing
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawArgentinos Juniors
56.23% (1.566 1.57) 24.14% (-0.559 -0.56) 19.63% (-1.012 -1.01)
Both teams to score 47.74% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (0.938 0.94)52.74% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.797 0.8)74.38% (-0.801 -0.8)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.96199999999999 0.96)18.62% (-0.965 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (1.594 1.59)49.91% (-1.598 -1.6)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (-0.553 -0.55)41.35% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.49 -0.49)77.86% (0.48700000000001 0.49)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 56.22%
    Argentinos Juniors 19.63%
    Draw 24.13%
River PlateDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.87% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.323 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.208 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.152 0.15)
4-2 @ 1% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 56.22%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.63%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2022 12.30am
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
River Plate
4-2
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (6'), Fernandez (9'), Quintero (67' pen.), Herrera (89')
Avalos (39'), Villalba (50')
Florentin (12'), Villalba (24'), Torren (26'), Galarza (90+2')
Torren (65')
Oct 25, 2021 11pm
Jul 22, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
River Plate

Torren (6'), Mac Allister (57'), Avalos (72'), Villalba (74'), Sandoval (79'), Gomez (81')
Romero (35', 54')
Montiel (4'), Perez (24'), Zuculini (39')
Jul 15, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16
River Plate
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (10')
Perez (36'), Girotti (84')
Hauche (40')
Hauche (43'), Quintana (49'), Florentin (69'), Mac Allister (76'), Coronel (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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