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Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II
Montpellier

Monaco
1 - 1
Montpellier

Ben Yedder (70' pen.)
Pellegri (73'), Geubbels (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mavididi (51')
Souquet (90+5')
Savanier (19')

Preview: Monaco vs. Montpellier HSC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Fifth meets sixth in Sunday's Ligue 1 encounter as Monaco welcome Montpellier HSC to the Stade Louis II for gameweek seven.

Both sides went in to the international break following defeats in gameweek six, with Monaco losing to Brest 1-0 while Montpellier fell to defeat to Nimes by the same scoreline.


Match preview

Bayern Munich manager Niko Kovac pictured on March 2, 2019© Reuters

Brest are a side on form at the moment and were certainly not to be underestimated before their showdown with Monaco, who ultimately succumbed to their second defeat in three against Les Pirates earlier this month.

Romain Faivre's eighth-minute strike was the only goal to be had on the day as Monaco missed the chance to capitalise on Montpellier's defeat, and Niko Kovac's side remain in sixth as the domestic campaign prepares to get underway again.

Les Monegasques also lost out in a heavyweight clash with Rennes in gameweek four and only just managed to come out on top in a five-goal thriller with a struggling Strasbourg side at the end of September, so Kovac will be hoping that his players return from the international break feeling refreshed and raring to go again in Ligue 1.

If Paris Saint-Germain were to suffer a shock defeat against Nimes on Friday, Monaco would break into the top four with victory against Montpellier, and Kovac's men will certainly be expected to win in the wake of coronavirus-related mayhem at Montpellier over the past couple of days.

Montpellier boss Michel Der Zakarian pictured in March 2019© Reuters

Montpellier - looking to avoid a third game without a win in the French top flight - had been ravaged by a coronavirus cluster which saw eight players and four staff all return positive tests on Friday morning.

However, a further statement released by La Paillade the same evening confirmed that 10 of the 12 who initially returned positive tests have since tested negative, meaning that manager Michel Der Zakarian - believed to be one of those affected - should not be presented with too many selection dilemmas.

Montpellier's showdown with Monaco was thrust into the realms of uncertainty following the news of the outbreak, but Sunday's showdown is set to go ahead as scheduled now that only one player and one staff member were confirmed to be COVID-19 positive in a second round of testing.

A number of fringe players would have been holding out for the chance to impress at short notice, but with a near full-strength contingent available to assistant manager Pascal Baills - set to take the reins in place of Der Zakarian - the visitors are set to be firing on all cylinders at the Stade Louis II.

Monaco enjoyed a 1-0 victory in this fixture last season - their first league victory against Montpellier since 2017 - but La Paillade stormed to a 3-1 win at home.

Monaco Ligue 1 form: DWWLWL

Montpellier HSC Ligue 1 form: LWWWDL


Team News

Montpellier captain Hilton pictured in February 2017© Reuters

Monaco defender Axel Disasi will serve the second of a two-match ban for the visit of Montpellier, so 18-year-old Chrislain Matsima can look forward to another start alongside Benoit Badiashile.

Aurelien Tchouameni was forced to miss out the loss to Brest but is set to return to the middle of the park here, potentially in place of Sofiane Diop, while Henry Onyekuru will be vying for a recall to the left flank.

Aleksandr Golovin is still sidelined with hamstring trouble, while Fode Ballo-Toure is doubtful with a broken toe.

Meanwhile, the eight players reported to have initially returned positive coronavirus tests at Montpellier were Jonas Omlin, Dimitry Bertaud, Hilton, Nicolas Cozza, Pedro Mendes, Daniel Congre, Teji Savanier and Andy Delort, but it is only Mendes who tested positive a second time.

As a result, Montpellier's fears of a decimated defence have been eradicated and Mendes is set to be replaced in the heart of defence by Cozza, who will line up alongside Hilton and Congre in front of Omlin.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Lecomte; Aguilar, Badiashile, Matsima, Ballo-Toure; Tchouameni, Fabregas, Fofana; Volland, Ben Yedder, Onyekuru

Montpellier HSC possible starting lineup:
Omlin; Hilton, Congre, Cozza; Souquet, Le Tallec, Ferri, Oyongo; Savanier; Laborde, Delort


SM words green background

We say: Monaco 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Had Montpellier been forced to field a makeshift lineup for Sunday's clash, the game would have been a foregone conclusion before the first whistle blew. The visitors will not have Der Zakarian barking instructions from the touchline on Sunday, and Montpellier are sure to be affected in some capacity by all of the midweek commotion, so we are still tipping Monaco to nick a win here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data


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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier?

Monaco
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Draw
0.0%
Montpellier
0.0%
0
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Monaco's Benoit Badiashile pictured on August 23, 2020
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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