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Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II
Strasbourg

Monaco
3 - 2
Strasbourg

Ben Yedder (9', 53'), Aguilar (45+1')
Tchouameni (21'), Ballo-Toure (40')
Tchouameni (55'), Disasi (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chahiri (46'), Ajorque (70' pen.)
Thomasson (60')

Preview: Monaco vs. Strasbourg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Strasbourg, including team news and predicted lineups.

Monaco will be looking to bounce back from their defeat to Rennes when they welcome Strasbourg to the Stade Louis-II for the fifth round of fixtures in the 2020-21 Ligue 1 campaign.

In contrast, Strasbourg finally managed to get off the mark in the top flight as they overcame fellow strugglers Dijon 1-0 last weekend.


Match preview

Bayern Munich manager Niko Kovac pictured on March 2, 2019© Reuters

Rennes and Monaco had both enjoyed unbeaten starts to the season before the two sides faced off in the pick of the fixtures in gameweek four, but Niko Kovac's men ultimately came up short against their fellow high-flyers last Saturday.

Wissam Ben Yedder rifled in the opener for Monaco before Steven Nzonzi restored parity for Rennes, who were then indebted to Adrien Truffert as the substitute bagged the winner for the Champions League contenders in the dying embers of the match.

It was a devastating way for Monaco to suffer their first defeat of the new league campaign, but a clash with an out-of-sorts Strasbourg side represents the perfect opportunity for Kovac's men to put things right as they bid to return to European competition this time around.

Monaco can certainly be encouraged by their home form heading into the fifth gameweek of the season - Les Monegasques have only suffered two league defeats at the Stade Louis-II since last September, winning nine of their last 13 on familiar territory.

Strasbourg manager Thierry Laurey pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Strasbourg's fortunes were looking bleak following three losses from their opening three matches, and in gameweek four, they were facing off against a Dijon side with a similarly woeful record.

In the end, Thierry Laurey's men prevailed in that bottom-of-the-table clash courtesy of Stefan Mitrovic's header in the 80th minute, and Strasbourg have lifted themselves out of the automatic drop zone for now.

However, Laurey's men would do extremely well to keep that momentum going, as Strasbourg's clash with Monaco represents the first of three testing fixtures to come for the strugglers, with Lille and Lyon lying in wait for Laurey's side over the next few weeks.

While Strasbourg are certainly not expected to take all three points against Monaco, Lorient and Metz - whom they are level on points with - are playing Lyon and Marseille respectively, so Strasbourg are unlikely to fall any further behind after this weekend.

Strasbourg have actually beaten Monaco in three of the last four meetings between the two sides, with Laurey's men picking up a 3-1 victory in this fixture last season.

Monaco Ligue 1 form: DWWL

Strasbourg Ligue 1 form: LLLW


Team News

Monaco's Fode Ballo Toure in action with Montpellier's Arnaud Souquet in February 2020© Reuters

Monaco's solitary injury concern is Aleksandr Golovin, who will be sidelined for a little while longer with a hamstring injury.

Other than that, Kovac has a fully-fit squad at his disposal for the showdown with Strasbourg, with Fode Ballo-Toure vying for a recall at left-back over Djibril Sidibe.

Gelson Martins and Henry Onyekuru both relinquished their places up top to Sofiane Diop and Kevin Volland respectively against Rennes, so Kovac has some tough calls to make when it comes to who will support Ben Yedder in attack.

As for Strasbourg, goalkeeper Matz Sels is a long-term absentee, while Lamine Kone and Lebo Mothiba are not expected back for another few weeks at least.

Dimitri Lienard came off the bench to provide the assist for Mitrovic's winner against Dijon and could feature from the first whistle here.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Lecomte; Aguilar, Badiashile, Disasi, Ballo-Toure; Tchouameni, Fofana, Fabregas; Martins, Ben Yedder, Volland

Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Kamara; Lala, Simakan, Mitrovic, Caci; Djiku, Lienard, Sissoko; Thomasson; Waris, Ajorque


SM words green background

We say: Monaco 2-0 Strasbourg

In spite of the fact that Monaco suffered a disheartening loss to Rennes last weekend, Kovac's men should have too much quality for a struggling Strasbourg side. The visitors can boast a strong recent record against their opponents, but Monaco are vastly improved from last season and we expect the hosts to record a straightforward victory on Sunday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:curl


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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Strasbourg?

Monaco
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Draw
0.0%
Strasbourg
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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