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Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Greuther Furth

Bayern
4 - 1
Greuther Furth

Lewandowski (46', 82'), Griesbeck (61' og.), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+1')
Lewandowski (45'), Kimmich (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hrgota (42')
Bauer (80')

Preview: Bayern Munich vs. Greuther Furth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Greuther Furth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bayern Munich will be looking to put a disappointing past week behind them by extending their lead at the top of the Bundesliga table when they welcome Greuther Furth to the Allianz Arena on Sunday.

The hosts suffered a staggering defeat last weekend before struggling in the Champions League in midweek, whilst the visitors picked up another win to continue their resurgence in form at the foot of the table.


Match preview

Bayern Munich's Niklas Sule reacts after VfL Bochum's Cristian Gamboa scores their third goal on February 12, 2022© Reuters

Prior to last weekend, Bayern had got to the point in their season where they hit cruise control, with the Bavarians having extended their lead at the summit of the Bundesliga to nine points over Borussia Dortmund, ahead of a seemingly simple round-of-16 tie in the Champions League at Red Bull Salzburg in midweek.

However, fast forward a week, and the champions have come undone twice during a rare sticky patch in their otherwise fantastic campaign.

Everything seemed as expected when Robert Lewandowski unsurprisingly opened the scoring inside nine minutes at newly-promoted VfL Bochum last Saturday, but by half time, Bayern astonishingly found themselves 4-1 behind.

Julian Nagelsmann's side were shell shocked, and despite Lewandowski adding his second in the last 15 minutes, he could not prevent the leaders falling to a shock 4-2 defeat.

Dortmund's victory a day later meant that the Bundesliga title race was back on once more, despite Nagelsmann's side seemingly ending their challenge on a couple of occasions already this season.

The Bavarians would have been expected to produce a response in midweek when they travelled to Austria in their Champions League knockout tie, but the giants put in another sluggish display and were fortunate to come away with a 1-1 draw in the end thanks to Kingsley Coman's late equaliser.

Sunday's hosts will still be expected to comfortably progress from the tie when they return to the Allianz Arena in a couple of weeks anyway, but Nagelsmann will be expecting his side to raise their performance levels drastically in the coming weeks, beginning on Sunday when they return to Bundesliga action looking to avoid another huge upset.

Greuther Fuerth boss Stefan Leitl pictured in May 2021© Reuters

Meanwhile, visitors Greuther will have the pressure taken off their shoulders when they visit the Allianz Arena, despite their ongoing battle for survival at the bottom of the table.

Following the success of promotion from the 2.Bundesliga last campaign, the reward for their efforts will be the memorable trips to some of Germany's biggest clubs, including the home of the champions in particular at the weekend.

The Cloverleaves head into the clash as huge underdogs, but manager Stefan Leitl will be hoping his side can put in yet another spirited performance in order to take advantage of any potential Bayern slip up.

The visitors appeared dead and buried at the foot of the Bundesliga table back in December, and although their hopes of survival remain extremely slim, the minnows have at least restored some pride in recent weeks following a dreadful opening to the campaign.

Just a single point from their first 14 league games of the season meant Greuther looked set to break all of the unwanted records in top-flight history, but since then, Leitl's side have lost just twice in their next eight Bundesliga outings, which arrived in tough trips to Dortmund and Wolfsburg.

The latest of their recent impressive results arrived in a 2-1 win over fellow strugglers Hertha Berlin last weekend, with captain Branimir Hrgota netting both goals to bring his side to within nine points of safety.

However, out of their 13 points recorded so far this season, only one has arrived away from home, and with a daunting trip to Bayern to come on Sunday, they will not be expected to add to that tally come the end of play.

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Bayern Munich form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Greuther Furth Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Bayern Munich's Kingsley Coman celebrates scoring their first goal on February 16, 2022© Reuters

Following his heroics for Bayern in midweek, Coman has picked up a slight knock ahead of Sunday's clash, so the Frenchman is a doubt to feature.

Serge Gnabry is another potential absentee due to a muscle knock, but Jamal Musiala could return following the end of his COVID-19 isolation.

The youngster requires a fitness test to determine his availability though, whilst first-choice goalkeeper Manuel Neuer remains absent due to a knee injury.

Alphonso Davies and Leon Goretzka are also ruled out due to heart and knee problems respectively.

As for the visitors, they will remain without the long-term absentee trio of Marius Funk, Robin Kehr and Jessic Ngankam on Sunday.

Gideon Jung also remains sidelined due to a knee problem, but Leitl has no fresh injury concerns to contend with ahead of the daunting trip.

The boss is therefore likely to name an unchanged starting lineup from the one that defeated Hertha last weekend, meaning top goalscorer Hrgota should be joined by Jamie Leweling in attack once more.

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Ulreich; Pavard, Upamecano, Sule, Hernandez; Kimmich, Tolisso; Sabitzer, Muller, Sane; Lewandowski

Greuther Furth possible starting lineup:
Linde; Meyerhofer, Griesbeck, Viergever, Itter; Seguin, Christiansen, Tillman; Dudziak; Hrgota, Leweling


SM words green background

We say: Bayern Munich 4-0 Greuther Furth

Despite Bayern suffering a couple of shock setbacks over the past week, it would be one of the biggest Bundesliga shocks in history were they to come away from the Allianz Arena without the three points on Sunday.

For all of Greuther's excellent results of late, on their travels they desperately struggle, so all of the signs are pointing towards a comfortable Bayern win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Matthew Tranter

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 93.35%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 1.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 4-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 5-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bayern vs Greuther Furth

Bayern Munich
91.9%
Draw
5.4%
Greuther Furth
2.7%
37
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Serge Gnabry celebrates scoring for Bayern Munich in January 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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