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Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Bayern Munich vs. Wolfsburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bayern Munich will be looking to make it seven straight wins in all competitions when they continue their Bundesliga campaign at home to Wolfsburg on Friday night.

The German champions are currently top of the Bundesliga, nine points clear of second-placed Borussia Dortmund, while Wolfsburg occupy 11th with 20 points to show from their opening 16 games.


Match preview

Bayern Munich's Serge Gnabry celebrates scoring their fifth goal with teammates on December 14, 2021© Reuters

Bayern rounded off a perfect Champions League group-stage campaign with a dominant 3-0 victory over Barcelona earlier this month, while they have since put another two more Bundesliga wins on the board, beating Mainz 2-1 on December 11 before thumping Stuttgart 5-0 on Tuesday night.

Serge Gnabry hit a treble in a stunning performance at Mercedes-Benz Arena, while Robert Lewandowski scored twice, as Julian Nagelsmann's side stretched their lead at the top of the table to nine points.

Second-placed Dortmund now have a game in hand over the leaders, but Bayern are on a roll at the moment, winning each of their last four in the league against Arminia Bielefeld, Dortmund, Mainz and Stuttgart since losing 2-1 at Augsburg on November 19.

Der FCB have not been perfect in the Bundesliga this season, but they sit comfortably top of the pile, and it is going to take an incredible effort for another team to prevent them from winning a 10th league title in a row.

Bayern will also fancy their chances of making a strong challenge for the Champions League this season, and they received a favourable draw in the round of 16, being paired with Austrian outfit RB Salzburg.

Wolfsburg coach Florian Kohfeldt on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Wolfsburg, meanwhile, will enter the contest off the back of a 3-2 home defeat to FC Koln on Tuesday, with Anthony Modeste snatching all three points for the visitors in the final exchanges.

Florian Kohfeldt's side are actually on a run of six straight defeats in all competitions, while they have not been victorious since a 1-0 win over Augsburg in the Bundesliga at the start of November.

Four straight league defeats to Dortmund, Mainz, Stuttgart and Koln have seen them slide down the table into 11th position, and they are only four points above 16th-placed Augsburg, who have a game in hand.

Wolfsburg also saw their Champions League group-stage campaign end in disappointment, losing their last two matches against Sevilla and Lille to finish bottom of Group G on five points.

The Wolves finished fourth in the Bundesliga last season, impressively only losing seven of their 34 matches, but they have already suffered eight league defeats this term and look short of being a top-four candidate at this stage of the campaign.

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Bayern Munich form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Wolfsburg Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Wolfsburg form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Bayern Munich forward Kingsley Coman pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Bayern will again be without the services of Corentin Tolisso, Leon Goretzka, Josip Stanisic, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting and Joshua Kimmich for Friday's affair.

Meanwhile, Kingsley Coman was forced off the field in the 27th minute of the clash with Stuttgart after suffering a hamstring problem, and the attacker could be replaced in the starting XI by Leroy Sane.

There are unlikely to be any alterations elsewhere, though, with Thomas Muller once again supporting Lewandowski from the number 10 position, while Marc Roca should earn another start in midfield.

As for Wolfsburg, Lukas Nmecha, Luca Waldschmidt, Paulo Otavio, Admir Mehmedi, Xaver Schlager and William will be absent for this match.

Jerome Roussillon, meanwhile, is suspended due to the late booking that he picked up against Koln, so there will have to be a change at the back, with John Brooks in line to start.

Head coach Kohfeldt is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack from the defeat to Koln, but Renato Steffen is expected to come into the attack, while Yannick Gerhardt is also pushing to start.

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Pavard, Sule, Hernandez, Davies; Roca, Musiala; Gnabry, Muller, Sane; Lewandowski

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Baku, Lacroix, Bornauw, Brooks; Vranckx, Arnold; F Nmecha, Steffen, Lukebakio; Weghorst


SM words green background

We say: Bayern Munich 3-0 Wolfsburg

Facing Bayern off the back of six straight defeats is far from ideal for Wolfsburg, and we are finding it incredibly difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable victory for the reigning champions, who should have too much in the final third despite their absentees.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
90.8%
Draw
3.3%
Wolfsburg
5.9%
152
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Bayern Munich's Corentin Tolisso pictured in October 2020
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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