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Hertha Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Bayern logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 4
Bayern

Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')

Preview: Hertha Berlin vs. Bayern Munich - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The final match of the Bundesliga weekend sees league leaders Bayern Munich travel to the capital to face Hertha Berlin at the Olympiastadion on Sunday.

The hosts will be looking to bounce back from their midweek derby defeat, whilst the visitors will be hoping for a repeat of their comfortable victory last time out.


Match preview

Hertha Berlin coach Tayfun Korkut reacts on January 19, 2022© Reuters

Hertha's start to 2022 has been a disappointing one, with the return to action seeing Tayfun Korkut's side downed 3-1 at home by FC Koln, before picking up a hard-fought point at Wolfsburg last weekend.

The Old Lady were fortunate to come away with anything at the Volkswagen Arena, with their opponents missing a host of glorious chances to take all three points.

Those two Bundesliga results leave Sunday's hosts in 13th place at the time of writing, with just four points separating them from the relegation zone below, although the tight nature of the bottom half of the table means that position could be even worse come kick off on Sunday.

Following the slow start in the Bundesliga on their return from the winter break, Hertha continued that precedent by being knocked out of the DFB-Pokal on home soil on Wednesday evening.

Not only was this a cup exit at the round-of-16 stage though, it was also a derby defeat to city rivals Union Berlin, with an own goal and Suat Serdar's late effort not enough to prevent Hertha from falling to a 3-2 defeat.

Facing the league leaders on Sunday is far from ideal for the hosts then, but they will be hoping to replicate the miraculous display put in back in 2018 that saw them overcome Bayern by a 2-0 scoreline at the Olympiastadion on that day.

Bayern Munich's Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 15, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, Bayern head to the capital on the back of a comprehensive 4-0 demolishing of a strong FC Koln side last weekend, with the Best FIFA Men's Player, Robert Lewandowski, netting a hat-trick to add to Corentin Tolisso's excellent effort.

Julian Nagelsmann's side displayed once more how they can return to their best so soon after a setback, with the shock 2-1 defeat at home to Borussia Monchengladbach the week before meaning the title race was revived again.

Borussia Dortmund had cut the gap to six points following that loss on the return from the winter break, and with the second-placed challengers winning before Bayern had played last weekend, the deficit was briefly cut to three.

The Bavarians continue to perform at their best when doubts are raised about their credentials though, and the hammering of the Billy Goats in their RheinEnergieStadion fortress was a statement victory.

Following their recent COVID-19 outbreak, which saw Bayern lose several first-team players ahead of the Gladbach fixture, many returned to the starting 11 last Saturday in timely fashion.

With Dortmund given the opportunity to potentially cut the gap to three points again when they play this Saturday, Sunday's visitors to the capital could have the pressure placed on their shoulders yet again.

Hertha Berlin Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Hertha Berlin form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Bayern Munich form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Bayern Munich's Kingsley Coman pictured on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Hertha will be hoping to have Stevan Jovetic return to their matchday squad on Sunday, with the forward missing the past month due to a calf injury.

With him unlikely to be fit enough to start though, Ishak Belfodil will lead the line once more, and after switching to a five-man midfield for the derby defeat in midweek, Torkut could do so again on Sunday due to the calibre of their opposition.

Spare goalkeeper Rune Jarstein remains sidelined due to a knee injury, whilst Fredrik Andre Bjorkan could remain out due to COVID-19, although Peter Pekarik and Oliver Christensen did return to the squad in midweek following their periods of isolation.

The defensive duo of Niklas Stark and Jordan Torunarigha will have to be assessed, with their injuries seeing the former replaced early in the week, and the latter missing out altogether.

As for the visitors, Dayot Upamecano should be fit enough to start from the off on Sunday, which will see a reshuffle of Benjamin Pavard returning to right-back, and Joshua Kimmich taking up his preferred place in front of the back four.

Alphonso Davies remains sidelined for a few months due to his recent heart problems, which means Marcel Sabitzer could continue to fill in at left-back unless Lucas Hernandez is able to return from his period of COVID-19 isolation.

Kingsley Coman could also return following his contraction of the virus, but Josip Stanisic and Leon Goretzka remain injured, whilst Bouna Sarr and Eric Choupo-Moting are on international duty at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Klunter, M Dardai, Boyata, Mittelstadt; Tousart; Richter, Darida, Ascacibar, Serdar; Belfodil

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Pavard, Upamecano, Sule, Hernandez; Kimmich, Tolisso; Sane, Muller, Musiala; Lewandowski


SM words green background

We say: Hertha Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich

With the pressure on Bayern once more, we expect them to raise their game again and come out with another emphatic display.

Hertha should lack the quality to prevent a comfortable victory for the visitors, unless they can perform at their absolute best, but Bayern should easily brush aside their relegation-threatened opponents.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:475977:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12540:
Written by
Matthew Tranter

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Bayern

Hertha Berlin
6.7%
Draw
13.3%
Bayern Munich
80.0%
45
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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