MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:22:18| >> :60:276:276:
Saint Lucia national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

St Lucia
1 - 2
Sint Maarten

Thomas (12')
Frederick (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Amatkarijo (38'), Lake (56')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Sint Maarten.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-0 St Lucia
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Sint Maarten

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Sint Maarten 0-2 Guadeloupe
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawSint Maarten
70.43% (-0.191 -0.19) 16.53% (0.041 0.04) 13.04% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 58.94% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.17% (0.179 0.18)30.83% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.82% (0.21400000000001 0.21)52.18% (-0.218 -0.22)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.18% (0.0040000000000049 0)7.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.74% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (0.337 0.34)36.06% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (0.345 0.35)72.84% (-0.34800000000001 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 70.43%
    Sint Maarten 13.04%
    Draw 16.53%
Saint LuciaDrawSint Maarten
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.94%
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.58% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 70.43%
1-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.53%
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.04%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 11pm
League B
Sint Maarten
1-5
St Lucia
Amatkarijo (51')
Kerssies (15')
Poleon (45', 48', 89'), Hackett (57'), Stanislas (75')
rhs 2.0
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