MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:28:07| >> :120:4711:4711:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Nublense

Aucas
0 - 0
Nublense


Carcelen (89')
Caicedo (10')
FT

Zalazar (34'), Caroca (45+5'), Oyarzo (46'), Rubio (48'), Aranguiz (52'), Henriquez (74')
Zalazar (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Aucas and Nublense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aucas

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aucas 1-2 Racing
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nublense

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nublense 1-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Aucas 1-1 Nublense

 Aucas will be hopeful of gaining revenge over Nublense when the Chilean club visit Ecuador, but the hosts may have to settle for a point as they aim to end a run of three straight losses. Given that Nublense have suffered a solitary defeat in their last six outings across all competitions, we expect the Red Devils to frustrate El Idolo de Quito once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AucasDrawNublense
52.96% (-0.479 -0.48) 25.22% (0.303 0.3) 21.81% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.67% (-0.652 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)54.4% (0.968 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.818 -0.82)75.77% (0.812 0.81)
Aucas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)20.54% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (-0.925 -0.93)53.05% (0.92 0.92)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)39.99% (0.377 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (-0.35 -0.35)76.64% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Aucas 52.95%
    Nublense 21.81%
    Draw 25.21%
AucasDrawNublense
1-0 @ 13% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.306 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.205 0.21)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.81%

How you voted: Aucas vs Nublense

Aucas
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Nublense
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Nublense
2-1
Aucas
Rubio (79'), Vilches (90+1')
Otero (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!