MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 05:36:21| >> :120:3692:3692:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas
3 - 0
Metropolitanos

Ordonez (39', 76'), Matias Pizzorno Bracco (68')
Ordonez (7'), Alexander Mina Caicedo (22'), Briones (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cova (24'), Larotonda (45')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aucas and Metropolitanos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aucas would win this match.

Result
AucasDrawMetropolitanos
46.4%22.8%30.8%
Both teams to score 63.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.16%36.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99%59.01%
Aucas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68%16.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.09%45.9%
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29%57.71%
Score Analysis
    Aucas 46.4%
    Metropolitanos 30.8%
    Draw 22.79%
AucasDrawMetropolitanos
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-2 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 3.85%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 5.56%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.8%

Head to Head
May 4, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Metropolitanos
3-2
Aucas
Flores (14'), Moreno (51'), Pavone (65' pen.)
Jose Gabriel Cova Meneses (39'), Moreno (45+1'), Pavone (45+2'), (90+7')
Ordonez (67' pen.), Carerra (69')
Fydriszewski (44'), Carabali (45+1'), Briones (54'), Tapiero (64')
rhs 2.0
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