Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.