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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 19, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 5
River Plate

Peralta (79')
Machuca (41'), Luna Diale (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (16'), Fernandez (59'), Alvarez (73', 90+5'), Palavecino (87')
de la Cruz (43'), Perez (45+1'), Herrera (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Union
Wednesday, June 15 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-1 River Plate

 Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with plenty of goalmouth action. While Union will be looking to build on Wednesday's victory, we predict the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Union had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawRiver Plate
28.71% (1.769 1.77) 27.37% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 43.92% (-1.826 -1.83)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.935 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (0.649 0.65)57.49% (-0.649 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (0.512 0.51)78.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.792 1.79)35.59% (-1.791 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.804 1.8)72.35% (-1.805 -1.81)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.624 -0.62)26% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.85 -0.85)61.02% (0.849 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Union 28.71%
    River Plate 43.92%
    Draw 27.36%
UnionDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.354 0.35)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.346 0.35)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.71%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.54 -0.54)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.524 -0.52)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.92%

How you voted: Union vs River Plate

Union
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
River Plate
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 10.15pm
Union
1-0
River Plate
Luna Diale (58' pen.)
Juarez (64'), Britez (66')

Martinez (26'), Gomez (34'), Armani (57'), Casco (60')
Jul 25, 2021 10pm
River Plate
4-0
Union
Romero (12'), Suarez (34'), De La Cruz (61'), Diaz (65')
Suarez (42')

Carlos Portillo (81')
Feb 10, 2020 12.45am
Union
1-2
River Plate
Bou (47')
Blasi (85')
Fernandez (55'), Rojas (65')
Martinez (15'), Borre (58'), Quintero (89')
Jan 24, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Union
Quintero (89')
Fernandez (45'), Sibille (49'), Ferreira (81')
Fragapane (37' pen.), Zabala (73')
Fernandez (44'), Fragapane (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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