We said: Fleetwood Town 1-2 West Bromwich Albion
Should they field a strong starting XI, Fleetwood have a good chance of springing a surprise against their Championship visitors on Tuesday night.
West Brom's second-string side could start slowly at Highbury Stadium, although we are backing the Baggies to finish well and book their spot in the next round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.