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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Burton Albion

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Burton Albion

Johnston (17'), Patterson (31'), Lonergan (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (23'), Helm (25'), Sweeney (85'), Scott (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Reading
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-3 Burton Albion

Burton Albion have been victorious in all of their last three visits to Highbury Stadium by single-goal margins, and with Fleetwood having little to play for after their relegation was confirmed last weekend, we expect that to be the case once again in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
43.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 26.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 30.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)53.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9% (0.011000000000003 0.01)75.09% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (0.0039999999999907 0)24.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)69.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 43.48%
    Burton Albion 30.03%
    Draw 26.48%
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.03%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Burton Albion

Fleetwood Town
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Burton Albion
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-1
Fleetwood
Powell (17')
Crocombe (42'), Walker (80')
Quitirna (19')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Fleetwood
2-3
Burton Albion
Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Burton Albion
Garner (12')
Clarke (70')
Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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