Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.