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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
34.9% ( -0.32) | 27.06% ( 0.25) | 38.05% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.34% ( -1.04) | 54.66% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.01% ( -0.87) | 75.99% ( 0.87) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% ( -0.71) | 29.77% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.16% ( -0.87) | 65.84% ( 0.87) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% ( -0.45) | 27.87% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% ( -0.58) | 63.48% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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