Europa League
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Demir Ege Tıknaz 8' goal
  • Mario Dorgeles 25' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 26' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 72' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 90'+2' goal
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 16'
  • yellowcard Lucas Höler 81'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 81'

Braga vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Freiburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.22% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Braga 53.29%
Draw 24.22%
Freiburg 22.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.33% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.66%
Under 2.5 46.34%
Over 3.5 31.02%
Under 3.5 68.98%
Over 4.5 18.59%
Under 4.5 81.41%

First Half Winner

Braga 44.15%
Draw 38.06%
Freiburg 17.79%

Team To Score First

Braga 64.37%
No Goal 6.37%
Freiburg 29.26%

Corners

Over 8 42.66%
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 45.08%
Over 9 31.57%
Equal 9 11.09%
Under 9 57.34%
Over 10.5 22.34%
Under 10.5 77.66%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 50.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 25.57%
Under 2.5 74.43%
Over 3.5 10.58%
Under 3.5 89.42%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 58.35% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.65% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.88%
Under 1.5 74.12%
Over 2.5 8.7%
Under 2.5 91.3%
Over 3.5 2.57%
Under 3.5 97.43%

Score analysis

Braga 53.3%
Draw 24.21%
Freiburg 22.49%
Braga
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.68%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 10.25%
Total : 53.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.21%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.49%