MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:32:52| >> :600:6297246:6297246:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Azerbaijan national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Dalga Arena
Estonia national football team

Azerbaijan
1 - 1
Estonia

Krivotsyuk (62')
Bayramov (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sappinen (27')
Mets (42'), Kait (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Azerbaijan and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 5-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Estonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-1 Estonia
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Azerbaijan 0-1 Estonia

 Given that Estonia pushed Austria all the way in their opening qualifier, we expect the visitors to claim a narrow victory over Azerbaijan, who have already conceded nine goals across two defeats this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawEstonia
41.81% (0.617 0.62) 27.75% (-0.205 -0.21) 30.44% (-0.411 -0.41)
Both teams to score 47.42% (0.427 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (0.615 0.62)58.2% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15% (0.479 0.48)78.85% (-0.477 -0.48)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.631 0.63)27.44% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.806 0.81)62.93% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.65% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 41.81%
    Estonia 30.43%
    Draw 27.74%
AzerbaijanDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.43%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Estonia

Azerbaijan
41.1%
Draw
21.4%
Estonia
37.5%
56
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!