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Latvia national football team
Baltic Cup | Semi-Finals
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

Latvia
1 - 1
Estonia

Krollis (45+2')
Savaļnieks (17'), Ikaunieks (80')
Savaļnieks (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Zenjov (2')
Kallaste (83')
Latvia win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Baltic Cup clash between Latvia and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Last Game: Andorra 1-1 Latvia
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Nations League

Estonia

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 0-4 Estonia
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Latvia 1-2 Estonia

 Both sides are coming into the Baltic Cup following promotions in the Nations League meaning both should be confident in winning this competition despite the involvement of Iceland. Even though Latvia have home advantage in this tournament, the unavailability of Gutkovskis could really hinder their efforts to win their 17th Baltic Cup title, so we see the Estonians advancing to the final on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Latvia win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%).

Result
LatviaDrawEstonia
37.1% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.01% (0.0040000000000013 0) 38.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)40.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)63.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)22.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.19% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)54.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 37.1%
    Estonia 38.88%
    Draw 24.01%
LatviaDrawEstonia
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.88%

How you voted: Latvia vs Estonia

Latvia
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Estonia
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2021 5pm
Estonia
2-1
Latvia
Kait (5', 40')
Mets (66'), Tamm (69'), Pikk (80'), Paskotsi (83'), Poom (84'), Anier (90+4')
Ikaunieks (84' pen.)
Oss (18'), Saveljevs (45+1'), Jaunzems (78'), Krollis (88')
rhs 2.0
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