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Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Kramaric (45+2'), Baumgartner (74'), Kaderabek (81')
Kaderabek (50'), Grillitsch (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baku (25')
Arnold (78'), Roussillon (80')

Preview: Hoffenheim vs. Wolfsburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Second-placed Wolfsburg head to Hoffenheim's PreZero Arena in Bundesliga action on Saturday, looking to continue their strong start to the new season.

Meanwhile, the hosts find themselves in mid-table after failing to win since the opening weekend of league action.


Match preview

Hoffenheim's Munas Dabbur celebrates scoring their first goal on February 13, 2021© Reuters

The 4-0 hammering of Augsburg in the opening match appears to be a distant memory for Hoffenheim and manager Sebastian Hoeness.

Other than a trip to title-challengers Borussia Dortmund, Die Kraichgauer have had three other encounters since that they will have considered 'winnable', but have only managed two points since.

After a disappointing 11th-place finish in 2020-21, the European hopefuls may have missed an early opportunity to cement a place in the top seven in the early stages of this campaign.

The latest of those disappointing results came at Arminia Bielefeld last weekend, where Hoffenheim were held to a goalless draw against a side expected to struggle at the wrong end of the table.

That result also means it is back-to-back games without scoring a goal, despite the calibre of opponents, and despite managing to score eight in the opening three matches.

Hoeness' side will now look ahead to the weekend with few positives to hold onto, and to an opponent that they have beaten just once in their last six meetings, although this did arrive the last time they met back in March.

Wolfsburg's Wout Weghorst celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 19, 2021© Reuters

As for the visitors, a quick glance at Wolfsburg would make it easy to assume that everything is positive at the second-placed side.

However, despite the results, performances will be of a concern to new manager Mark van Bommel, with the scores tending to flatter his side in the early stages of the new campaign so far.

Wolfsburg have made each of their matches tight affairs and have created a lot more work for themselves than they will have desired.

This being despite three of their four wins arriving against sides either recently promoted to the Bundesliga, or expected to struggle towards the bottom of the table.

After winning the opening four, Wolfsburg's winning run came to an end when they hosted fellow European-hopefuls Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend in a 1-1 draw.

The pattern of play was improved from their point of view in this one, though, with the Wolves dominating the play and creating far more chances than their opponents going forward.

Unfortunately for them, it remained tight once they conceded in the first half, and top goalscorer Wout Weghorst came to the rescue with the equaliser in the second half.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Hoffenheim form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Wolfsburg Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Wolfsburg form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Wolfsburg coach Mark van Bommel on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Hoffenheim continue to be without defensive trio Ermin Bicakcic, Benjamin Hubner and Havard Nordtveit when they host Wolfsburg on Saturday. The trio are all yet to feature so far this campaign.

Sebastian Rudy remains a doubt after missing the trip to Bielefeld due to a back problem, so Florian Grillitsch should continue to deputise in his absence in the centre of midfield.

Meanwhile, Wolfsburg remain without a quartet of long-term absentees for the trip to Hoffenheim.

Paulo Otavio, William, Xaver Schlager and Bartosz Bialek are all still missing for Van Bommel.

To add to his concerns, summer recruit Dodi Lukebakio is struggling with a hip problem as well, so Ridle Baku and Lukas Nmecha will battle for the opening on the wing should he miss out.

Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Kaderabek, Richards, Vogt, Raum; Samassekou, Grillitsch; Baumgartner, Kramaric, Bruun Larsen; Bebou

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Mbabu, Lacroix, Bornauw, Roussillon; Guilavogui, Arnold; L Nmecha, Waldschmidt, Steffen; Weghorst


SM words green background

We say: Hoffenheim 1-1 Wolfsburg

With Hoffenheim's last couple of matches being tight affairs, and all of Wolfsburg's being that case this season so far, another is expected here. Neither look like they have the ability to score a number of goals just yet so a low-scoring draw is our prediction here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:465024:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10139:
Written by
Matthew Tranter

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
16.2%
Draw
25.7%
Wolfsburg
58.1%
74
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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