Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Norway had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Norway win was 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.