/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
-
Kacper Potulski
45'+1'
-
Kacper Kozlowski
62'
-
Norbert Wojtuszek
62'
-
Jakub Kiwior
82'
-
Karol Czubak
89'
-
Oskar Pietuszewski
89'
-
Przemysław Wiśniewski
90'+5'
-
Terem Moffi
25'
-
Semi Ajayi
46'
-
Calvin Bassey
46'
-
Rafiu Durosinmi
46'
-
Philip Otele
46'
-
Paul Onuachu
46'
-
Raphael Onyedika
46'
-
Zaidu Sanusi
46'
-
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
63'
-
Paul Onuachu
77'
Poland vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F23%2Frobert-lewandowski.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
Poland
38.77%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
26.18%
▲
(+0.13)
Nigeria
35.02%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
53.47%
▲
(+0.44)
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
26%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 2.5
49.79%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
50.17%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
27.94%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
72.06%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
15.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
84.53%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Poland
29.8%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
44.14%
▼
(-0.15)
Nigeria
26.05%
▲
(+0.58)
Team To Score First
Poland
49.75%
▲
(+0.94)
No Goal
7.55%
▼
(-0.11)
Nigeria
42.7%
▼
(-0.84)
Corners
Over 8
42.98%
▲
(+0.22)
Equal 8
11.82%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 8
45.2%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 9
32.25%
▲
(+0.47)
Equal 9
10.73%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 9
57.02%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 10.5
23.27%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 10.5
76.73%
▼
(-0.62)
Poland Goals
Over 1.5
38.26%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
61.74%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
15.58%
Under 2.5
84.42%
Over 3.5
5.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
94.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
68.57%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
31.43%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
35.15%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
64.85%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 2.5
13.64%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
86.36%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
4.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
95.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Poland
38.76%
Draw
26.18%
Nigeria
35.02%
Poland
1-0
@
9.46%
▼
(-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.76%
2-1 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.76%
Draw
1-1
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.18%
0-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.18%
Nigeria
0-1
@
8.95%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.02%
1-2 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.02%