MX23RW : Monday, November 18 10:19:45| >> :60:424:424:
Switzerland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Espenmoos
Austria national football team

Switzerland
1 - 1
Austria

Widmer (26')
Xhaka (57'), Stergiou (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baumgartner (5')
Seiwald (82'), Wimmer (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Switzerland and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Switzerland 4-0 Estonia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 2-1 Serbia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Switzerland 1-1 Austria

While we expect this to be a competitive contest throughout, there will naturally be some trepidation about pushing too hard at this stage of their preparations. With that in mind, a low-scoring draw could play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Austria had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawAustria
50.29% (-0.211 -0.21) 25.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23.8% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 47.97% (0.33 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (0.305 0.31)55.19% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (0.25 0.25)76.42% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.99% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.052 0.05)55.3% (-0.055 -0.05)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.396 0.4)38.51% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.376 0.38)75.26% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 50.28%
    Austria 23.8%
    Draw 25.91%
SwitzerlandDrawAustria
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 50.28%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Switzerland vs Austria

Switzerland
41.7%
Draw
21.9%
Austria
36.4%
151
rhs 2.0
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