Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Austria6 - 1Turkey
Schlager (2'), Gregoritsch (44', 48', 59' pen.), Baumgartner (78' pen.), Entrup (90+5')
Schlager (74'), Posch (80')
Schlager (74'), Posch (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovakia 0-2 Austria
Saturday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
We said: Austria 1-0 Turkey
Following a resounding success in Slovakia, Austria will be confident of making it back-to-back March victories on home soil against Turkey. The Crescent Stars have struggled on the road recently, so we are expecting successive defeats for Montella's men. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Turkey |
43.09% ( -0.17) | 24.52% ( 0.07) | 32.39% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
