We said: Cadiz 1-1 Elche
Cadiz need the points more than Elche, but the visitors will enter this match in impressive form. We are finding it difficult to back Cadiz to lose under the circumstances but are also struggling to tip a defeat for Elche, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.