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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Ramon de Carranza
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz's win over Barcelona would have done so much for their confidence, and they will fancy their chances of causing Athletic problems on Thursday. The Basque outfit do not often lose on their travels, but they have not won too many either, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
29.72%28.27%42.01%
Both teams to score 45.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.73%60.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.56%80.44%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7%36.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91%73.09%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68%28.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95%64.05%
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 29.71%
    Athletic Bilbao 42.01%
    Draw 28.27%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 12.97%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 8.18%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 42.01%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
32.6%
Draw
26.7%
Athletic Bilbao
40.7%
135
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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