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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Rayo Vallecano logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Aspas (51', 85'), Ciss (52' og.)
Beltran (11'), Oscar (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Comesana (23'), Balliu (45+1'), Lejeune (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

This is a really difficult match to call, especially as three of the last four league meetings between the two sides have finished level. Both teams will be confident of picking up the win, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawRayo Vallecano
45.24% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08) 26.83% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.93% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.75% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)55.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.61% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.11% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66% (0.060000000000002 0.06)35.33% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.064 0.06)72.09% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 45.24%
    Rayo Vallecano 27.93%
    Draw 26.82%
Celta VigoDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.012999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.93%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Rayo Vallecano
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Nov 1, 2021 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-0
Celta Vigo

Valentin (65'), Isi (69'), Iraola (90+2')

Galan (45'), Solari (51'), Mendez (69'), Fontan (70'), Tapia (81')
May 18, 2019 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Aspas (82' pen., 90')
Embarba (29' pen.), Medran (71')
Agbo (4'), Garcia (39'), Catena (79'), Dimitrievski (85')
Jan 11, 2019 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
4-2
Celta Vigo
De Tomas (4', 37', 77'), Bebe (90')
Ba (16'), Advincula (71'), Velazquez (80'), Bebe (90')
Araujo (13'), Gomez (18' pen.)
Mendez (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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