Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.3% ( -0.1) | 26.2% ( 0.17) | 50.5% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -0.69) | 56.65% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -0.56) | 77.62% ( 0.56) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.18% ( -0.48) | 39.81% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.52% ( -0.44) | 76.48% ( 0.44) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.33) | 22.51% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( -0.49) | 56.08% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |