Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.