We said: Port Vale 1-1 Barrow
On the back of edging out Doncaster last time out, Port Vale are on a high, a rarity after recent matches. However, we feel that they may struggle to get over the line here, leading us to back a low-scoring draw with a Barrow outfit who ideally require three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.64%).