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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Barrow

Port Vale
P-P
Barrow

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Harrogate
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Barrow

On the back of edging out Doncaster last time out, Port Vale are on a high, a rarity after recent matches. However, we feel that they may struggle to get over the line here, leading us to back a low-scoring draw with a Barrow outfit who ideally require three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.64%).

Result
Port ValeDrawBarrow
45.82% (0.131 0.13) 27.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 26.38% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.03% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)80.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.060000000000002 0.06)26.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.082000000000001 0.08)61.35% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.05% (-0.105 -0.11)38.95% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32% (-0.1 -0.1)75.67% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 45.82%
    Barrow 26.38%
    Draw 27.79%
Port ValeDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 26.38%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Barrow
4-0
Port Vale
Garner (54'), Acauah (79'), Spence (81'), Telford (90+5')

Byers (66'), Croasdale (90+8')
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Barrow
3-2
Port Vale
Garner (1'), Acauah (70'), Jackson (76')
Campbell (41'), Jackson (49')
Paton (26'), Sang (66')
Plant (48')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Barrow
1-2
Port Vale
Kay (24')
Canavan (13'), Farman (45')
Proctor (59'), Martin (89')
Hall (40'), Walker (63')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Port Vale
3-1
Barrow
Politic (51'), Jones (56' og.), Benning (85')
Banks (33')
Banks (43')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Barrow
0-2
Port Vale

Barry (7'), Beadling (59'), Ntlhe (88')
Conlon (30', 76')
Brisley (7'), Montano (8'), Guthrie (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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