Port Vale1 - 0Morecambe
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
for
We said: Port Vale 3-1 Morecambe
Port Vale are certainly the favourites given the difference in league position, and with the hosts also winning each of the last three clashes at Vale Park, we expect another victory for the Valiants. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
56.6% ( 0.03) | 24.64% ( 0.04) | 18.76% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.99% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% ( -0.22) | 55.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% ( -0.18) | 76.82% ( 0.18) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( -0.07) | 19.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.12) | 51.53% ( 0.12) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.2) | 44.04% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.84% ( -0.17) | 80.16% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.76% |
