We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Rotherham United
After battling through 70 minutes with 10 players in the week against QPR, an 11-man Plymouth will be raring to rack up the goals against the division's bottom side at Home Park.
Rotherham did not look like scoring on Tuesday night and considering their woeful record on the road, we cannot imagine a result for the Millers from their maiden away trip under Richardson.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.