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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Rotherham United |
52.92% ( -0.04) | 23.71% ( -0.05) | 23.37% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( 0.29) | 46.81% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.93% ( 0.27) | 69.07% ( -0.27) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% ( 0.09) | 17.65% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.75% ( 0.16) | 48.25% ( -0.16) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( 0.24) | 34.27% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( 0.25) | 70.97% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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