Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth2 - 1Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-2 Stoke
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Stoke City
Plymouth are continuing to lean on their home form significantly to keep them out of trouble in the Championship, and we are expecting another strong performance from the Pilgrims at Home Park this weekend. Stoke were hit with questionable refereeing decisions and a load of suspensions to key players at QPR last time out, meaning we cannot envisage the Potters earning coming out on top in Devon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
34.28% ( -0) | 23.5% | 42.22% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% | 38.89% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% | 61.21% ( -0) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( -0) | 22.63% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.75% ( -0) | 56.25% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% | 18.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.77% ( 0) | 50.23% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle 34.28%
Stoke City 42.22%
Draw 23.5%
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.22% |
How you voted: Plymouth vs Stoke
Plymouth Argyle
67.9%Draw
10.7%Stoke City
21.4%28
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Feb 14, 2006 3pm
