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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Stoke logo

Plymouth
2 - 1
Stoke

Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-2 Stoke
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Stoke City

Plymouth are continuing to lean on their home form significantly to keep them out of trouble in the Championship, and we are expecting another strong performance from the Pilgrims at Home Park this weekend. Stoke were hit with questionable refereeing decisions and a load of suspensions to key players at QPR last time out, meaning we cannot envisage the Potters earning coming out on top in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
34.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5%42.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 62.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11%38.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.79%61.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.25%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19%18.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.28%
    Stoke City 42.22%
    Draw 23.5%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Stoke

Plymouth Argyle
67.9%
Draw
10.7%
Stoke City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
Feb 14, 2006 3pm
Stoke
0-0
Plymouth
Chadwick (83')
Doumbé (15'), Barness (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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