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Seychelles national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Burundi national football team

Seychelles
1 - 3
Burundi

Hoareau (78')
Mellie (45'), Raheriniaina (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abdallah (34'), Kanakimana (62', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Seychelles and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 1-1 Burundi
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Seychelles 0-2 Burundi

Burundi will be licking their lips as they take on a Burundi side who have been one of the whipping boys in the continent. Les Hirondelles have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we fancy them to extend their winning streak against Seychelles on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 0-3 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.

Result
SeychellesDrawBurundi
10.52% (0.166 0.17) 17.67% (0.169 0.17) 71.81% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
Both teams to score 45.74% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5% (-0.289 -0.29)43.5% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11% (-0.284 -0.28)65.89% (0.28500000000001 0.29)
Seychelles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.25% (0.132 0.13)48.75% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.22% (0.094000000000001 0.09)83.77% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.24% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)10.76% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.25% (-0.366 -0.37)34.75% (0.368 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Seychelles 10.52%
    Burundi 71.8%
    Draw 17.68%
SeychellesDrawBurundi
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.062 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.02% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.35% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 10.52%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.68%
0-2 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.69% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 9.69% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 5.4% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 71.8%

How you voted: Seychelles vs Burundi

Seychelles
13.3%
Draw
13.3%
Burundi
73.3%
15
rhs 2.0
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