World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
Burundi1 - 2Gabon
FT(HT: 0-1)
Allevinah (35'), Bouanga (83')
Obiang (41'), Ecuele Manga (43'), Loufilou (45+2'), Moucketou-Moussounda (85')
Obiang (41'), Ecuele Manga (43'), Loufilou (45+2'), Moucketou-Moussounda (85')
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Burundi 0-1 Gabon
The last three meetings between Sunday's opponents have produced a combined four goals, and we are anticipating another low-scoring affair here. That said, we can see Gabon getting the job done by a narrow margin in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Gabon |
32.86% ( 0.14) | 28.57% ( 0.02) | 38.57% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
