MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 23:36:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 0
Hartberg

Lavalee (34'), Biereth (86')
Aiwu (78'), Zvonarek (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schopp (0'), Heil (74'), Wilfinger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Hartberg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 PSG
Wednesday, August 7 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hartberg 1-2 LASK
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg

Hartberg are certainly capable of making this a tricky match for Sturm Graz, and we are expecting to be a tight affair on Sunday afternoon. However, the reigning champions should have enough quality to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
49.32% (-0.547 -0.55) 23.84% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.83% (0.541 0.54)
Both teams to score 57.27% (0.478 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (0.407 0.41)44.33% (-0.408 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (0.394 0.39)66.7% (-0.396 -0.4)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)18.07% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)48.99% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.62899999999999 0.63)30.09% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.749 0.75)66.23% (-0.75099999999999 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 49.32%
    Hartberg 26.83%
    Draw 23.84%
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.077 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 26.83%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Hartberg

Sturm Graz
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Hartberg
0.0%
11
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sturm Graz
1-1
Hartberg
Kiteishvili (58')
Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Jatta (57'), Biereth (62'), Jatta (65')
Gorenc Stankovic (9')
Entrup (17')
Kainz (33'), Entrup (56')
Apr 14, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hartberg
1-3
Sturm Graz
Avdijaj (73')
Prokop (48')
Prass (9'), Kiteishvili (63' pen.), Gorenc Stankovic (90')
Mar 10, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 22
Hartberg
1-1
Sturm Graz
Avdijaj (70')
Sallinger (33')
Boving (29')
Schnegg (57'), Lavalee (64'), Johnston (65')
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Sturm Graz
2-1
Hartberg
Jatta (13'), Prass (42')
Ilzer (17'), Kiteishvili (61'), Serrano (90+3')
Lang (4')
Heil (16'), Prokop (72'), Sangare (73'), Kainz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz1392229151429
2Rapid Vienna137511812626
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna137331913624
4Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg115331514118
5Wolfsberger135262319417
6BW Linz135261618-217
7LASK LinzLASK135262020017
8Hartberg124441616016
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt124351320-715
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski133371118-712
11Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach132381218-69
12Grazer AKGrazer131661625-99


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