Sturm Graz

0 - 2

Porto

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.