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World Cup
Tunisia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Tunisia
1 - 0
Eq Guinea

Ali Ben Romdhane (82' pen.)
Meriah (14'), Laidouni (25'), Ltaief (87'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90+2'), Ben Said (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akapo (9'), Buyla (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 Tunisia (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Eq Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: Tunisia 2-0 Equatorial Guinea

 Tunisia will be backing themselves to maintain their perfect qualifying record as they take on a deflated Equatorial Guinea side who will be looking to bounce back after their costly point deduction. That said, we predict that the Carthage Eagles will come away with the desired results in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.95%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.

Result
TunisiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
55.66% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 17.46% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 37.62% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.68% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.32% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)83.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.010000000000005 0.01)23.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.011999999999993 0.01)57.59% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.2% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)50.79% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)85.2% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 55.65%
    Equatorial Guinea 17.46%
    Draw 26.86%
TunisiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 17.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 55.65%
0-0 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 17.46%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Eq Guinea

Tunisia
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
Equatorial Guinea
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Eq Guinea
1-0
Tunisia
Nsue (85' pen.)
Akapo (48'), Ganet (88')

Chikhaoui (40')
> Preview
Jun 2, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
4-0
Eq Guinea
Sliti (56'), Jaziri (77'), Msakni (80', 85')
Mejbri (32'), Yassine Khenissi (73'), Sassi (75')

Owono (45'), Lopez Elo (58')
Lopez Elo (71')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2021 4pm
Second Round
Eq Guinea
1-0
Tunisia
Ganet (84')
Siafa (35'), Coco (45+2'), Anieboh (46')

Sassi (29'), Kechrida (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Tunisia
3-0
Eq Guinea
Bronn (54'), Skhiri (78'), Khazri (82' pen.)
Bronn (5'), Sassi (69'), Mathlouthi (86')

Asumu Obama Ondo (4'), Alberto Meseguer Villanueva (32'), Buyla (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2015 7.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Tunisia
1-2
Eq Guinea
Akaichi (70')
Ragued (9'), Yacoubi (63'), Akaichi (66'), Chermiti (86')
Balboa (93' pen., 102')
Salvador (96')
> Match Report
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