We said: Tunisia 0-1 Croatia
Dalic must utilise the four games ahead of Euro 2024 wisely, with a changing of the guard taking place within the Croatia squad and a devilishly difficult group to navigate in Germany.
Tunisia are looking to recover from a hopeless showing at AFCON and may be revitalised with a new-look squad, but this is a very difficult test for them.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.