Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Reims had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.