Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz3 - 3Lille
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lille |
| 31.39% | 27.95% | 40.65% |
| Both teams to score 47.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.79% | 79.21% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% | 34.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.12% | 70.88% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.97% | 64.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 31.39%
Lille 40.65%
Draw 27.94%
| Metz | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.65% |
How you voted: Metz vs Lille
Metz
14.1%Draw
14.1%Lille
71.8%78
Form Guide
